EVENTS:   The State of US-China and Global Rebalancing - William Hess/PRC Macro & Song Gao/PRC Macro & Ming Wu/PRC Macro - 07 May 25     ROADSHOWS: US Retail, E-tail and Consumer Products Equity Research and Stock Picks - Scott Mushkin /R5 Capital /London   08 - 09 May 25       US Value Equity Ideas - Jonathan Boyar /Boyar Research /London   12 - 15 May 25       US Chemicals Equity Research and Stock Picks - Frank Mitsch /Fermium Research /London   14 - 15 May 25      

How “Making America Great Again” Is Reshaping Japan and Emerging Asia

Astris Advisory Japan

Thu 17 Apr 2025 - 15:00 BST

Summary

Neil discussed U.S –Japan trade dynamics, domestic Japanese economic conditions, and future market outlook. While President Trump criticised Japan for not importing American cars, the issue lies more in size, quality, and regulation—most U.S cars are simply unsuitable for Japanese roads, though Teslas have found a niche market. Trade negotiations may lead to moderate reductions in food tariffs, benefiting Japanese food processors and lowering costs for pre-made meals. Japan’s interest rates are expected to rise to 1.5% within a year, which should strengthen the yen, reduce import costs, and ease pressure on SMEs. A stronger yen may also support domestic consumption by increasing purchasing power and reducing tourist congestion. Despite low domestic growth, Japan’s economy is service-led and stable. Key sectors like autos and tech remain strong, and the country continues to be a safe haven amid global market volatility.

Topics

Forget the trade war headlines—this is about something bigger: the great on-shoring shift in manufacturing. And it may just be the start of a broader movement.

Japan stands out as a relative long-term safe haven, with assets that continue to outperform. But here are three surprises that could up the game.

Is this the final chapter of globalization as we know it? Place your bets—because President Trump isn’t hedging his.