EVENTS:   Mining the Data - What the Iran Conflict Really Means for Oil - 3-month vs. 12-month Outlook - Kathleen Kelley/Queen Anne's Gate Capital - 19 Mar 26   The Roaring 2020s or a Rerun of the 1970s? - Edward Yardeni/Yardeni Research - 24 Mar 26     ROADSHOWS: Chinese Equity Ideas & Channel Checks Across 50 sub-sectors - Don Ma /Horizon Insights   •   London   23 - 27 Mar 26       Long Short European Equity Research - Harry Grist /The Analyst   •   New York   26 Mar 26       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   27 - 27 Mar 26      

Update on the Roaring 20s Scenario II

Yardeni Research

Thu 13 Feb 2025 - 15:00 GMT / 10:00 EST

Summary

Dr. Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, explored his updated “Roaring 20s” scenario and the outlook for global markets. Yardeni argued that the US economy remains structurally stronger than its global peers, supported by resilient consumers, strong balance sheets and sustained capital investment. He highlighted productivity growth—driven by digitalisation and artificial intelligence—as a key force underpinning earnings, wage growth and economic expansion. Yardeni maintained a bullish outlook for US equities, forecasting continued earnings growth and higher equity indices, while viewing market corrections as buying opportunities. The discussion also covered risks from tariffs, geopolitics and public debt, which Yardeni currently assigns a lower probability. Overall, the call reinforced the view that technological innovation and productivity gains could define a prolonged period of economic and market strength.

Topics

Will Trump 2.0 turn out to be bullish or bearish for the economy and the stock market?

Will a productivity boom boost economic growth and suppress inflation?

Why might profit margins rise to new record highs and boost S&P 500 earnings per share to $400 by the end of the decade?

Have interest rates normalized so that the Fed might be done lowering interest rates for a while?

Will AI speed up the Digital Revolution?