EVENTS:   Lunch - How Bull Markets Die - Jawad Mian/Stray Reflections - 03 Feb 26     ROADSHOWS: Thematic Research Based Ideas - David Scott /CHA-AM Advisors   •   London   06 - 06 Feb 26       Commodities Research with a Focus on Oil and Energy - Kathleen Kelley /Queen Anne's Gate Capital   •   London   10 - 10 Feb 26      

The Great Rebalancing: Asset Allocation in a Multipolar World

BCA Research

Wed 25 Feb 2026 - 16:00 UTC / 17:00 CET / 16:00 GMT / 11:00 ET

Topics

• Macro Outlook: The “Great Rebalancing” is underway as the US shifts to production, China to consumption, and Europe to investment.

• Fixed Income Call: Duration remains our preferred play, with the Fed more focused on employment than tariff-driven inflation.

• Currency Views: We’ve upgraded the CNY to overweight, JPY and EUR remain favoured on valuation and supportive fundamentals.

• Equity Preferences: Focus on Europe’s domestic sectors, plus UK & Japanese equities. In China, a pivot toward consumption could prove a game changer.

• Sector Themes: Overweight defensives, utilities, telecoms, and healthcare - alongside AI-driven infrastructure demand.